I-CEO yeTesla u-Elon Musk uthe kwifowuni yemivuzo: "Ukuba umgodi i-nickel ngendlela esebenzayo kunye nokusingqongileyo, uTesla uya kwenza Ukubonelela ngesivumelwano esikhulu." Umhlalutyi waseMelika uWood Mackenzie uqikelela ukuba kwiminyaka elishumi, i-lithium iron phosphate (LFP) iya kwenza. buyisela i-lithium manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) njengowona mthombo wamandla omileyo ongundoqo weMathiriyeli yeMichiza.

Nangona kunjalo, uMusk uye waxhasa ixesha elide ukususwa kwe-cobalt kwibhetri, ngoko mhlawumbi ezi ndaba azikho zonke ezimbi kuye.

Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-Wood Mackenzie, iibhetri ze-lithium iron phosphate (LFP) zibalelwa kwi-10% yemakethe yokugcina amandla emileyo ngo-2015. Ukususela ngoko, ukuthandwa kwabo kuye kwaphakama ngokukhawuleza kwaye kuya kuthatha ngaphezu kwe-30% yeemarike ngo-2030.

Oku kunyuka kwaqala ngenxa yokunqongophala kweebhetri ze-NMC kunye namacandelo ekupheleni kwe-2018 nasekuqaleni konyaka odlulileyo.Ukusukela ekubeni zombini ugcino lwamandla olumileyo kunye nezithuthi zombane (ev) zifumene ukusasazwa ngokukhawuleza, into yokuba la macandelo mabini abelana ngekhemistry yebhetri ibangele ukunqongophala.

Umhlalutyi ophezulu waseWood Mackenzie uMitalee Gupta uthe: "Ngenxa yokwandiswa komjikelo wonikezelo lwe-NMC kunye nexabiso eliphantsi, ababoneleli be-LFP baqalisile ukungena kwimarike ethintelweyo ye-NMC ngexabiso elikhuphisanayo, ngoko ke i-LFP inomtsalane kuzo zombini izicelo zamandla kunye namandla. ."

Enye into eqhuba ukulawulwa okulindelekileyo kwe-LFP iya kuba ngumahluko phakathi kohlobo lwebhetri esetyenziselwa ukugcinwa kwamandla kunye nohlobo lwebhetri esetyenziswa kwizithuthi zombane, njengoko izixhobo ziya kuchaphazeleka ngokuqhubekayo kunye nobuchule obukhethekileyo.

Inkqubo yangoku yokugcina amandla e-lithium-ion inembuyekezo eyanciphayo kunye neenzuzo zezoqoqosho ezihlwempuzekileyo xa umjikelo udlula iiyure ze-4-6, ngoko ke ukugcinwa kwamandla kwexesha elide kuyadingeka ngokukhawuleza.UGupta uthe ukwalindele ukuba amandla okubuyisela amandla aphezulu kunye nokuphindaphindwa okuphezulu kuya kuthatha indawo yokuqala kuxinano lwamandla kunye nokuthembeka kwemarike yogcino lwamandla, zombini iibhetri zeLFP zinokukhanya.

Nangona ukukhula kwe-LFP kwimarike yebhetri yemoto yombane akukho nto imangalisayo njengakwindawo yokugcina amandla amileyo, ingxelo yeWood Mackenzie yabonisa ukuba usetyenziso lwe-elektroniki olune-lithium iron phosphate alunakuhoywa.

Le khemikhali sele idume kakhulu kwimarike yemoto yombane yaseTshayina kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ifumane isibheno sehlabathi.I-WoodMac iqikelela ukuba ngo-2025, i-LFP iya kuphendula ngaphezu kwe-20% yeebhetri zemoto zombane ezifakiweyo.

Umhlalutyi ophezulu wophando u-Wood Mackenzie uMilan Thakore uthe eyona nto iphambili yokuqhuba ukusetyenziswa kwe-LFP kwintsimi yezithuthi zombane iya kuvela ekuphuculweni kwezinto zeekhemikhali ngokubhekiselele kubunzima bamandla kunye nobuchwepheshe bokupakisha ibhetri.