Imbonakalo Yogcino Lwamandla Ezindlu e-EU: I-4.5 GWh yoLwandiso Olutsha ngo-2023

Imbonakalo Yogcino Lwamandla Ezindlu e-EU: I-4.5 GWh yoLwandiso Olutsha ngo-2023

Ngowama-2022, izinga lokukhula kweindawo yokugcina umbane yokuhlalaeYurophu yayiyi-71%, kunye nomthamo owongezelelweyo ofakelweyo we-3.9 GWh kunye nomthamo ofakelweyo odibeneyo we-9.3 GWh. IJamani, i-Itali, i-United Kingdom, kunye ne-Austria zibekwe njengeemarike ezine eziphezulu nge-1.54 GWh, 1.1 GWh, 0.29 GWh, kunye ne-0.22 GWh, ngokwahlukeneyo.

Kwimeko ephakathi, kuqikelelwa ukuba ukusasazwa okutsha kogcino lwamandla emakhaya eYurophu kuya kufikelela kwi-4.5 GWh ngo-2023, i-5.1 GWh ngo-2024, i-6.0 GWh ngo-2025, kunye ne-7.3 GWh ngo-2026. IPoland, iSpain, kunye neSweden ziimarike ezisakhulayo ezinamathuba amakhulu.

Ngowama-2026, kulindeleke ukuba umthamo omtsha wonyaka ofakelweyo kummandla waseYurophu ufikelele kwi-7.3 GWh, kunye nomthamo ofakelweyo oqokelelweyo we-32.2 GWh. Phantsi kwemeko yokukhula okuphezulu, ekupheleni kuka-2026, isikali sokusebenza kogcino lwamandla emakhaya eYurophu sinokufikelela kwi-44.4 GWh, ngelixa phantsi kwemeko yokukhula okuphantsi, siya kuba yi-23.2 GWh. IJamani, i-Itali, iPoland, kunye neSweden ziya kuba ngamazwe amane aphezulu kuzo zombini iimeko.

Qaphela: Idatha kunye nohlalutyo olukweli nqaku luvela kwi-“2022-2026 European Residential Energy Storage Market Outlook” epapashwe yi-European Photovoltaic Industry Association ngoDisemba 2022.

Imeko yeMarike yokugcina amandla e-EU ka-2022

Imeko yemarike yokugcina amandla okuhlala yaseYurophu ngo-2022: Ngokutsho kwe-European Photovoltaic Industry Association, kwimeko yexesha eliphakathi, kuqikelelwa ukuba amandla afakiweyo okugcina amandla okuhlala eYurophu aya kufikelela kwi-3.9 GWh ngo-2022, nto leyo emele ukukhula kwe-71% xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo, kunye namandla afakiweyo ahlanganisiweyo e-9.3 GWh. Olu hlobo lokukhula luyaqhubeka ukususela ngo-2020 xa imarike yokugcina amandla okuhlala yaseYurophu ifikelele kwi-1 GWh, ilandelwa yi-2.3 GWh ngo-2021, ukunyuka kwe-107% unyaka nonyaka. Ngo-2022, ngaphezulu kwesigidi esinye seendawo zokuhlala eYurophu zifake iinkqubo zokugcina i-photovoltaic kunye ne-energy.

Ukukhula kofakelo lwe-photovoltaic olusasazwayo lwenza isiseko sokukhula kwemarike yokugcina amandla emakhaya. Izibalo zibonisa ukuba izinga eliphakathi lokufanisa phakathi kweenkqubo zokugcina amandla ezindlu kunye neenkqubo ze-photovoltaic ezisasazwayo eYurophu linyuke ukusuka kwi-23% ngo-2020 ukuya kwi-27% ngo-2021.

Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane kwiindawo zokuhlala kube yinto ephambili ebangela ukwanda kweendawo zokugcina umbane kwiindawo zokuhlala. Ingxaki yamandla ebangelwe yingxabano phakathi kweRashiya neUkraine inyuse amaxabiso ombane eYurophu, iphakamisa inkxalabo malunga nokhuseleko lwamandla, nto leyo ekhuthaze uphuhliso lwemarike yokugcina umbane kwiindawo zokuhlala eYurophu.

Ukuba bekungengenxa yeengxaki zeebhetri kunye nokunqongophala kwabafaki, okuye kwanciphisa amathuba okuhlangabezana neemfuno zabathengi kwaye kwabangela ukulibaziseka ekufakweni kweemveliso kangangeenyanga eziliqela, ukukhula kwemarike ngekwakukhulu nangakumbi.

Ngowama-2020,indawo yokugcina umbane yokuhlalaiinkqubo zisandula ukuvela kwimephu yamandla yaseYurophu, zineziganeko ezimbini ezibalulekileyo: ukufakwa kokuqala kwamandla angaphezu kwe-1 GWh kunyaka omnye kunye nokufakwa kweenkqubo zokugcina amandla zasekhaya ezingaphezu kwe-100,000 kwindawo enye.

 

Imeko yeMarike yokugcina amandla ezindlu: e-Itali

Ukukhula kwemarike yokugcina amandla kwiindawo zokuhlala zaseYurophu kuqhutywa kakhulu ngamazwe ambalwa aphambili. Ngo-2021, iimarike ezintlanu eziphambili zokugcina amandla kwiindawo zokuhlala eYurophu, kuquka iJamani, i-Itali, i-Austria, i-United Kingdom, neSwitzerland, zibambe i-88% yamandla afakiweyo. I-Itali ibililizwe lesibini ngobukhulu kwimarike yokugcina amandla kwiindawo zokuhlala eYurophu ukusukela ngo-2018. Ngo-2021, yaba yinto emangalisayo kakhulu ngomthamo wokufakelwa wonyaka we-321 MWh, omele i-11% yemarike yonke yaseYurophu kunye nokunyuka kwama-240% xa kuthelekiswa no-2020.

Ngowama-2022, kulindeleke ukuba amandla okugcina amandla e-Itali afakwe kwindawo yokuhlala adlule kwi-1 GWh okokuqala, afikelele kwi-1.1 GWh kunye nesantya sokukhula se-246%. Phantsi kwemeko yokukhula okuphezulu, eli xabiso liqikelelweyo liza kuba yi-1.56 GWh.

Ngowama-2023, i-Itali kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nomkhwa wayo wokukhula ngamandla. Nangona kunjalo, emva koko, ngokuphela okanye ukuncitshiswa kwamanyathelo enkxaso afana neSperbonus110%, ukufakwa okutsha konyaka kwendawo yokugcina amandla e-Itali kuya kuba yinto engaqinisekanga. Nangona kunjalo, kusenokwenzeka ukugcina isikali esikufutshane ne-1 GWh. Ngokwezicwangciso zomqhubi wenkqubo yothumelo lwase-Itali iTSO Terna, iinkqubo zokugcina amandla e-16 GWh zizonke ziya kusetyenziswa ngo-2030.

Imeko yeMarike yokugcina amandla ezindlu: eUnited Kingdom

I-United Kingdom: Ngowama-2021, i-United Kingdom ibekwe kwindawo yesine ngomthamo ofakiweyo we-128 MWh, ikhula ngesantya se-58%.

Kwimeko ephakathi, kuqikelelwa ukuba amandla amatsha afakiweyo okugcina amandla ezindlu e-UK aya kufikelela kwi-288 MWh ngo-2022, kunye nesantya sokukhula se-124%. Ngo-2026, kulindeleke ukuba ibe ne-300 MWh eyongezelelweyo okanye i-326 MWh. Phantsi kwemeko yokukhula okuphezulu, ukufakelwa okutsha okucwangcisiweyo e-UK ngo-2026 yi-655 MWh.

Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokungabikho kwezicwangciso ezixhasayo kunye nokusasazwa kancinci kweemitha ezikrelekrele, izinga lokukhula kwemarike yokugcina amandla ezindlu e-UK kulindeleke ukuba lihlale lizinzile kwinqanaba langoku kwiminyaka ezayo. Ngokutsho kwe-European Photovoltaic Association, ngo-2026, amandla afakiweyo e-UK aya kuba yi-1.3 GWh phantsi kwemeko yokukhula okuphantsi, i-1.8 GWh kwimeko yexesha eliphakathi, kunye ne-2.8 GWh phantsi kwemeko yokukhula okuphezulu.

Imeko yeMarike yokugcina amandla ezindlu: eSweden, eFrance naseNetherlands

ISweden: Iqhutywa zizibonelelo, ukugcinwa kwamandla kwiindawo zokuhlala kunye ne-photovoltaics kwiindawo zokuhlala eSweden zigcine ukukhula okuzinzileyo. Kulindeleke ukuba ibe yesine ngobukhuluindawo yokugcina umbane yokuhlalaimakethi eYurophu ngo-2026. Ngokutsho kwe-International Energy Agency (IEA), iSweden ikwayeyona imakethi inkulu yezithuthi zombane kwi-European Union, inesabelo semakethi se-43% sokuthengiswa kweemoto ezintsha zombane ngo-2021.

IFransi: Nangona iFransi yenye yeemarike ezinkulu ze-photovoltaics eYurophu, kulindeleke ukuba ihlale ikwinqanaba eliphantsi kwiminyaka embalwa ezayo ngenxa yokunqongophala kwezibonelelo kunye namaxabiso aphantsi ombane othengiswayo. Imarike kulindeleke ukuba inyuke ukusuka kwi-56 MWh ngo-2022 ukuya kwi-148 MWh ngo-2026.

Xa kuthelekiswa namanye amazwe aseYurophu anomlinganiselo ofanayo, imakethi yokugcina amandla ezindlu zaseFransi isencinci kakhulu xa ucinga ngabantu bayo abazizigidi ezingama-67.5.

INetherlands: INetherlands iseyimarike engabonakaliyo kakhulu. Nangona inenye yezona marike zinkulu ze-photovoltaic zokuhlala eYurophu kunye nezinga eliphezulu lokufakelwa kwelanga ngomntu ngamnye kwilizwekazi, imakethi ilawulwa kakhulu ngumgaqo-nkqubo wayo wokulinganisa i-net ye-photovoltaic zokuhlala.

 


Ixesha lokuthumela: Meyi-23-2023